Remember when the governors closed nearly all the states for months to fight the Flu in 2018, when high estimates showed 95,000 deaths, and even the average guess was 61,000?
Remember how President Donald Trump reacted in 2019, when that prior year analysis came true, and the Centers for Disease Control (CDC) decided the almost final number was 61,000 deaths, plus or minus 20,000 to 30,000 deaths?
Remember when Trump demanded to know why the CDC had no clue to the actual flu death numbers, despite the agency’s 10,899 employees and budget of $11.1 billion?
You can’t remember what didn’t happen, but the disaster of home imprisonment for hundreds of millions of Americans will long be recalled as record fear-mongering, more suited to electioneering than providing our people the truth.
Unfortunately, the President usually listens to the wrong advisors, and rarely reviews the actual statistics that might refute their talking points.
For example, in a recent interview in the Lincoln Memorial, he mused that many other countries kept their businesses open and didn’t force everyone to stay at home. He said they did the wrong thing by not closing, or re-opening too soon.
He mentioned Sweden and Japan. Sweden has been repeatedly castigated by the American Press for putting its citizens in danger by not closing stores and factories, and allowing residents to go forth in the great outdoors.
The table we assembled at the end of this blog lists the Covid-19 deaths by million, total deaths and cases by million yesterday for the states and most nations. Flu cases are only those patients seen by a doctor or hospital. Actual cases were much higher and included those who self-medicated, worked through the illness, or ignored symptoms.
By contrast, Covid-19 cases in the U.S. are either those presumed to have the virus, or were tested positive for the virus, regardless of symptoms or recovery. While about 96% of Covid-19 cases require no hospitalization, they are still continually reported as active cases, and never removed from the CDC reports, boosting perception of a larger infection rate than actual.
Sorted by the death rate, our table allows comparison of how well the pandemic was contained, and it paints an ugly picture for many states, especially New York, where daily press briefings by its governor hid a disaster that could only be properly attributed to incompetence, primarily in New York City.
New York state has 1,268 deaths per million residents. Compare that to Trump-target Sweden with 274 deaths or Japan with four deaths per million citizens!
New Jersey has suffered 888 deaths per million, Connecticut – 697, Massachusetts – 586, Louisiana – 431, Michigan – 407, Rhode Island – 323. Each of those states has a higher rate than one of the CDC estimates of U.S. flu deaths in 2018, the last year of verified data.
Across the nation the death per million average was 211 as of yesterday. Excluding New York it would be 170.
The President also trumpeted the accomplishment of performing more virus tests than South Korea, ignoring reality – endless testing won’t stop deaths. Instead, he should have credited South Korea with its five deaths per million citizens, a stunning 1/234th of New York and 1/42d the U.S. average.
And Trump should confront those unmasked health bureaucrats that flank him on press briefings and ask questions like these:
Explain how a “communist/socialist/backward/dictatorship” like Russia has a Covid-19 death rate of just nine, versus the lowest for any U.S. state – Alaska – which has 12 deaths per million?
How does a collapsing dictatorship like Cuba manage only a virus death rate of six?
Are you surprised that densely populated Egypt, which gets billions in foreign aid from the U.S. has a rate of just four deaths, versus New York’s 1,268?
Finally, how can one of the poorest nations on earth and second most populous – India – manage just one death per million?
Examine the following table:
- Decide for yourself if hiding at home worked, and ponder why four states – New York, New Jersey, Michigan and Massachusetts – represent nearly 60% of all deaths in the 50 states.
- Is reporting both confirmed and probable deaths – as ordered by the CDC on April 15 without any certification – the correct way to compile data affecting hundreds of millions.
- Why has third-world Africa virtually escaped the pandemic with just 1,848 total deaths in a continent of 1.2 billion.
- Why is the death rate in Massachusetts higher than Spain or Italy, while both nations are portrayed as suffering the worst infections worldwide by the media?
- How can Texas have only 889 deaths, while New York – with 8 million less population – totals 24,874?
|Flu USA (high)||290||95,000||83,105|
|Flu USA (avg.)||186||61,000||63,205|
|Flu USA (low)||140||46,000||54,812|
|Bosnia and Herzegovina||24||78||587|