FLU far more deadly for most U.S. states than Covid-19

Remember when the governors closed nearly all the states for months to fight the Flu in 2018, when high estimates showed 95,000 deaths, and even the average guess was 61,000?

Remember how President Donald Trump reacted in 2019, when that prior year analysis came true, and the Centers for Disease Control (CDC) decided the almost final number was 61,000 deaths, plus or minus 20,000 to 30,000 deaths?

Remember when Trump demanded to know why the CDC had no clue to the actual flu death numbers, despite the agency’s 10,899 employees and budget of $11.1 billion?

You can’t remember what didn’t happen, but the disaster of home imprisonment for hundreds of millions of Americans will long be recalled as record fear-mongering, more suited to electioneering than providing our people the truth.

…from a talented friend

Unfortunately, the President usually listens to the wrong advisors, and rarely reviews the actual statistics that might refute their talking points.

For example, in a recent interview in the Lincoln Memorial, he mused that many other countries kept their businesses open and didn’t force everyone to stay at home. He said they did the wrong thing by not closing, or re-opening too soon.

He mentioned Sweden and Japan. Sweden has been repeatedly castigated by the American Press for putting its citizens in danger by not closing stores and factories, and allowing residents to go forth in the great outdoors.

The table we assembled at the end of this blog lists the Covid-19 deaths by million, total deaths and cases by million yesterday for the states and most nations. Flu cases are only those patients seen by a doctor or hospital. Actual cases were much higher and included those who self-medicated, worked through the illness, or ignored symptoms.

By contrast, Covid-19 cases in the U.S. are either those presumed to have the virus, or were tested positive for the virus, regardless of symptoms or recovery. While about 96% of Covid-19 cases require no hospitalization, they are still continually reported as active cases, and never removed from the CDC reports, boosting perception of a larger infection rate than actual.

Sorted by the death rate, our table allows comparison of how well the pandemic was contained, and it paints an ugly picture for many states, especially New York, where daily press briefings by its governor hid a disaster that could only be properly attributed to incompetence, primarily in New York City.

New York state has 1,268 deaths per million residents. Compare that to Trump-target Sweden with 274 deaths or Japan with four deaths per million citizens!

New Jersey has suffered 888 deaths per million, Connecticut – 697, Massachusetts – 586, Louisiana – 431, Michigan – 407, Rhode Island – 323. Each of those states has a higher rate than one of the CDC estimates of U.S. flu deaths in 2018, the last year of verified data.

Across the nation the death per million average was 211 as of yesterday. Excluding New York it would be 170.

The President also trumpeted the accomplishment of performing more virus tests than South Korea, ignoring reality – endless testing won’t stop deaths. Instead, he should have credited South Korea with its five deaths per million citizens, a stunning 1/234th of New York and 1/42d the U.S. average.

And Trump should confront those unmasked health bureaucrats that flank him on press briefings and ask questions like these:

Explain how a “communist/socialist/backward/dictatorship” like Russia has a Covid-19 death rate of just nine, versus the lowest for any U.S. state – Alaska – which has 12 deaths per million?

How does a collapsing dictatorship like Cuba manage only a virus death rate of six?

Are you surprised that densely populated Egypt, which gets billions in foreign aid from the U.S. has a rate of just four deaths, versus New York’s 1,268?

Finally, how can one of the poorest nations on earth and second most populous – India – manage just one death per million?

Examine the following table:

  • Decide for yourself if hiding at home worked, and ponder why four states – New York, New Jersey, Michigan and Massachusetts – represent nearly 60% of all deaths in the 50 states.
  • Is reporting both confirmed and probable deaths – as ordered by the CDC on April 15 without any certification – the correct way to compile data affecting hundreds of millions.
  • Why has third-world Africa virtually escaped the pandemic with just 1,848 total deaths in a continent of 1.2 billion.
  • Why is the death rate in Massachusetts higher than Spain or Italy, while both nations are portrayed as suffering the worst infections worldwide by the media?
  • How can Texas have only 889 deaths, while New York – with 8 million less population – totals 24,874?

Deaths/ Total Cases/
Million Deaths Million
New York 1,268 24,874 16,509
New Jersey 888 7,886 14,348
Connecticut 697 2,495 8,177
Belgium 684 7,924 4,337
Massachusetts 586 4,004 9,969
Spain 544 25,428 5,311
Italy 481 29,079 3,505
Louisiana 431 2,012 6,291
UK 423 28,734 2,807
Michigan 407 4,049 4,394
France 381 24,895 2,584
Rhode Island 323 341 9,135
Netherlands 297 5,082 2,379
Flu USA (high) 290 95,000 83,105
Sweden 274 2,769 2,250
Ireland 267 1,319 4,409
Pennsylvania 221 2,832 4,069
Maryland 219 1,317 4,399
Switzerland 206 1,784 3,464
Illinois 204 2,618 4,797
Indiana 188 1,246 3,003
Delaware 186 177 5,485
Flu USA (avg.) 186 61,000 63,205
Luxembourg 153 96 6,115
Colorado 152 842 3,008
Flu USA (low) 140 46,000 54,812
Georgia 117 1,204 2,826
Washington 115 837 2,163
Portugal 104 1,063 2,503
Canada 102 3,842 1,606
Mississippi 101 303 2,526
Nevada 90 262 1,879
Ohio 89 1,040 1,711
Ecuador 89 1,569 1,807
Denmark 85 493 1,669
Vermont 83 52 1,443
Germany 82 6,866 1,978
Virginia 81 684 2,317
Minnesota 76 419 1,205
Iran 75 6,277 1,174
New Mexico 72 151 1,840
Florida 68 1,399 1,791
Austria 67 600 1,734
N. Hampshire 64 86 1,874
Missouri 62 377 1,385
Oklahoma 61 238 1,014
Iowa 60 188 3,098
Alabama 60 292 1,624
Wisconsin 59 339 1,378
California 57 2,215 1,403
Kentucky 57 253 1,155
South Carolina 55 275 1,337
Arizona 52 362 1,244
Kansas 51 147 1,785
Slovenia 47 97 692
Panama 46 200 1,668
North Carolina 43 439 1,167
Maine 43 57 889
Romania 43 818 702
Finland 43 240 961
Nebraska 41 78 3,103
Turkey 41 3,461 1,514
N. Macedonia 41 85 729
Estonia 41 55 1,284
Peru 39 1,286 1,393
Norway 39 214 1,454
Idaho 38 64 1,221
Hungary 36 351 314
North Dakota 33 25 1,583
Brazil 33 7,106 483
Texas 32 889 1,156
Tennessee 32 210 1,981
Dominican Rep. 32 346 759
Iceland 29 10 5,272
Oregon 27 109 657
West Virginia 27 50 659
Israel 27 234 1,876
Liechtenstein 26 1 2,151
Arkansas 25 76 1,147
South Dakota 24 21 3,044
Bosnia and Herzegovina 24 78 587
Serbia 23 197 1,094
Czechia 23 251 728
Mayotte 22 6 2,515
Croatia 19 80 512
Aruba 19 2 937
Poland 18 698 370
Mexico 17 2,154 182
Lithuania 17 46 521
Utah 16 50 1,699
Montana 15 16 437
Cayman Islands 15 1 1,126
UAE 14 137 1,489
Greece 14 146 253
Chile 14 270 1,080
Montenegro 13 8 514
Armenia 13 39 846
Hawaii 12 17 436
Wyoming 12 7 1,007
Alaska 12 9 498
Bulgaria 11 78 238
Belarus 11 103 1,851
Algeria 11 465 106
Albania 11 31 279
Russia 9 1,356 995
Kuwait 9 40 1,236
Ukraine 7 303 282
Colombia 7 340 151
Bolivia 7 76 137
Philippines 6 623 87
Cuba 6 69 147
Argentina 6 249 106
Uruguay 5 17 189
Slovakia 5 25 259
Saudi Arabia 5 191 823
S. Korea 5 252 211
Morocco 5 179 137
Tunisia 4 42 86
Qatar 4 12 5,620
New Zealand 4 20 308
Liberia 4 18 33
Lebanon 4 25 108
Japan 4 487 118
Egypt 4 436 67
Australia 4 95 268
Singapore 3 18 3,210
Malaysia 3 105 196
Indonesia 3 864 42
French Guiana 3 1 445
China 3 4,633 58
Azerbaijan 3 26 196
Suriname 2 1 17
South Africa 2 131 114
Somalia 2 35 48
Pakistan 2 476 95
Oman 2 12 516
Maldives 2 1 1,001
Kyrgyzstan 2 10 127
Kazakhstan 2 29 216
Iraq 2 98 58
Georgia 2 9 149
Gabon 2 5 151
El Salvador 2 12 86
Djibouti 2 2 1,130
Congo 2 10 43
Cameroon 2 64 78
Brunei 2 1 315
Afghanistan 2 90 74
Togo 1 9 15
Sierra Leone 1 9 22
Paraguay 1 10 56
Niger 1 36 31
Mali 1 29 29
India 1 1,452 33
Costa Rica 1 6 146
Bangladesh 1 182 62
Sudan 1 41 15
Jordan 1 9 46
Guatemala 1 17 39
Eswatini 1 1 100
Thailand 1 54 43
Nicaragua 1 5 2
Haiti 1 9 8
Guinea 1 9 130
Equatorial Guinea 1 1 225
Senegal 1 10 76
Ivory Coast 1 17 53
Ghana 1 18 88
Chad 1 10 7
Hong Kong 1 4 139
Guinea-Bissau 1 1 131
Venezuela 0 10 13
Nigeria 0 87 12
Libya 0 3 9
Kenya 0 24 9
Gambia 0 1 7
DRC 0 34 8
Botswana 0 1 10
Zimbabwe 0 4 2
Uzbekistan 0 10 65
Tanzania 0 16 8
Tajikistan 0 3 24
Taiwan 0 6 18
Zambia 0 3 7
Syria 0 3 3
Mauritania 0 1 2
Malawi 0 3 2
Myanmar 0 6 3
Burundi 0 1 1
Yemen 0 2 0
Angola 0 2 1
Ethiopia 0 3 1

Full report of the 2017-2018 season burden and influenza illness and burden of influenza illness prevented by vaccination in the United States


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